Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by December 31, 2026?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 89.0¢
- Implied chance
- 89.0%
- Return if right
- 12.4%
- Spread cost
- 87%
If you put in $100
You get 112.4 shares at 89.0¢ each.
YES wins: $112.36 back, a profit of $12.36. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $79.95 of that profit. Without it you would make $92.31.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 85.0¢
- Implied chance
- 85.0%
- Return if right
- 17.6%
- Spread cost
- 84%
If you put in $100
You get 117.6 shares at 85.0¢ each.
NO wins: $117.65 back, a profit of $17.65. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $90.69 of that profit. Without it you would make $108.33.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest: Oct 8, 12:55 AM1 outcome stayed under 3% and is not plotted
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- El-Sayed says Netanyahu pushed US into Iran warThe Hill · 3h ago
- 'It's still unclear whether Netanyahu will pay for what happened during his time in office'France 24 · 5h ago
- Netanyahu criticized by opponents for handling of Oct. 7 attacks weeks before Israeli electionCBS News · 10h ago
- Scars from Oct. 7 fuel deep divisions over Netanyahu ahead of Israeli electionFrance 24 · 11h ago
- Former Israeli hostage says Netanyahu is "unworthy" of his positionCBS News · 11h ago
- Three years on, questions remain over what Netanyahu knew before October 7France 24 · 12h ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by December 31, 2026?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump meets with Benjamin Netanyahu between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Trump and Netanyahu are present and interact with each other in person. An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.