Will Trump meet with Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in August 2026?

Q: Will Trump meet with Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in August 2026?

Prediction markets currently price this at 4%. A YES share costs 3.5¢ and pays $1 if it happens. That is a return of 2757.1% over 21d.

Who will Trump meet with in August?$12k liquidity$1k volumecloses 21d

TrumpPoliticsGeopolitics

Trade on Polymarket

BUY YES

Cost: 3.5¢
Implied chance: 3.5%
Return if right: 2757.1%
Spread cost: 34%

If you put in $100

You get 2857.1 shares at 3.5¢ each.

YES wins: $2857.14 back, a profit of $2757.14. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $1398.18 of that profit. Without it you would make $4155.32.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy YES on Polymarket

BUY NO

Cost: 98.8¢
Implied chance: 98.8%
Return if right: 1.2%
Spread cost: 50%

If you put in $100

You get 101.2 shares at 98.8¢ each.

NO wins: $101.21 back, a profit of $1.21. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $1.19 of that profit. Without it you would make $2.41.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy NO on Polymarket

Chance over time

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Latest: Aug 10, 07:22 PM4 further outcomes not shown

Latest news

headlines link to their publishers

No recent headlines matched this market. We only show an article when the names in the question appear in its headline, so a very local or very new market often has nothing. Showing nothing is deliberate: an unrelated story here would read like evidence about the price.

Headlines are matched on the names in “Will Trump meet with Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in August 202…”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.

How this market resolves

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual meets with Donald Trump between August 1 and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A meeting is defined as any encounter where both the listed individual and Trump are present and interact with each other in person. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.