Will Trump endorse UTJ in the 2026 Israeli Election?

Q: Will Trump endorse UTJ in the 2026 Israeli Election?

Prediction markets currently price this at 1%. A YES share costs 1.2¢ and pays $1 if it happens. That is a return of 8233.3% over 2.6mo.

Which party will Trump Endorse in the 2026 Israeli Election? $9k liquidity$631 volumecloses 2.6mo

TrumpIsraelelectionendorsementsIsrael Election

Trade on Polymarket

BUY YES

Cost: 1.2¢
Implied chance: 1.2%
Return if right: 8233.3%
Spread cost: 42%

If you put in $100

You get 8333.3 shares at 1.2¢ each.

YES wins: $8333.33 back, a profit of $8233.33. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $5952.38 of that profit. Without it you would make $14185.71.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy YES on Polymarket

BUY NO

Cost: 99.8¢
Implied chance: 99.8%
Return if right: 0.2%
Spread cost: 72%

If you put in $100

You get 100.2 shares at 99.8¢ each.

NO wins: $100.20 back, a profit of $0.20. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $0.50 of that profit. Without it you would make $0.70.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy NO on Polymarket

Chance over time

1H 6H 1D 1W 1M ALL

Latest: Aug 10, 07:28 PM8 outcomes stayed under 3% and are not plotted

Latest news

headlines link to their publishers

Headlines are matched on the names in “Will Trump endorse UTJ in the 2026 Israeli Election?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.

How this market resolves

Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Israel by October 27, 2026. This market will resolve based on which party Donald Trump announces that he supports, endorses, or otherwise tells people to vote for in the 2026 Israeli legislative election. In the event that Donald Trump endorses a candidate to be Prime Minister of Israel, this market will resolve in favor of the party that the individual represents as of the time of the endorsement or, if such individual does not represent a party, to the next party that the individual unambiguously represents. In the event that Donald Trump issues a qualifying endorsement of more than one candidate or party, it will be considered an endorsement of only either the party who was first endorsed or, should such a temporal determination not be possible, in alphabetical order of the endorsed parties. Statements that are clearly sarcastic, jokes, or immediately clarified as not reflecting genuine support shall not be considered relevant for purposes of this market. If Donald Trump does not announce an endorsement by the earliest of either December 31, 2026, or the day before the scheduled election at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No Endorsement". The resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump or one of his representatives, or a consensus of credible reporting of Donald Trump's endorsement.