Will Trump endorse JD Vance for president before 2027?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 5.0¢
- Implied chance
- 5.0%
- Return if right
- 1900.0%
- Spread cost
- 10%
If you put in $100
You get 2000.0 shares at 5.0¢ each.
YES wins: $2000.00 back, a profit of $1900.00. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $222.22 of that profit. Without it you would make $2122.22.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 96.0¢
- Implied chance
- 96.0%
- Return if right
- 4.2%
- Spread cost
- 12%
If you put in $100
You get 104.2 shares at 96.0¢ each.
NO wins: $104.17 back, a profit of $4.17. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $0.55 of that profit. Without it you would make $4.71.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- ‘WWE Main Event’ Moves From YouTube to Rumble, a Conservative Streaming Platform Backed by JD VanceThe Hollywood Reporter · 23h ago
- Republicans start making moves to challenge JD Vance for 2028 nominationThe Washington Post · 3d ago
- Ben Shapiro slams Bo French: JD Vance's family is Indian!The Hill · 4d ago
- What JD Vance's time at Yale says about his transformation from Trump critic to Trump VPCBS News · 8d ago
- JD Vance faces test in White House meeting with Israel-backing radio hostPolitico · 8d ago
- Iowa’s Republican Senate candidate not attending JD Vance eventThe Washington Post · 9d ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will Trump endorse JD Vance for president before 2027?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly endorses, or announces that he will vote for, JD Vance for the 2028 United States presidential election or the Republican primary for that election, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". If Donald Trump announces that he will vote for another candidate or endorses another candidate for the 2028 United States presidential election or the Republican primary for that election, this market will immediately resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump or one of his representatives, or a consensus of credible reporting of Trump's endorsement.