Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?

Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?$36k liquidity$89k volumecloses 2.5y
Earn 4%PoliticsCongressTrumpEpstein
Trade on Polymarket
Buy YES on Polymarket

BUY YES

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We keep it in one place with the price you saw, and email you when it settles or moves sharply. It is free, and the screener stays open to everyone either way.

Cost
64.0¢
Implied chance
64.0%
Return if right
56.3%
Spread cost
8%

If you put in $100

You get 156.3 shares at 64.0¢ each.

YES wins: $156.25 back, a profit of $56.25. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $5.04 of that profit. Without it you would make $61.29.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy YES on Polymarket

Buy NO on Polymarket

BUY NO

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We keep it in one place with the price you saw, and email you when it settles or moves sharply. It is free, and the screener stays open to everyone either way.

Cost
40.0¢
Implied chance
40.0%
Return if right
150.0%
Spread cost
8%

If you put in $100

You get 250.0 shares at 40.0¢ each.

NO wins: $250.00 back, a profit of $150.00. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $13.16 of that profit. Without it you would make $163.16.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy NO on Polymarket

Chance over time

0%25%50%75%100%62%Jul 10Aug 10

Latest: Aug 10, 03:46 PM

Latest news

headlines link to their publishers

No recent headlines matched this market. We only show an article when the names in the question appear in its headline, so a very local or very new market often has nothing. Showing nothing is deliberate: an unrelated story here would read like evidence about the price.

Headlines are matched on the names in “Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.

How this market resolves

This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.

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Free, and the screener stays open to everyone either way.