Will Trump announce Brett Giroir as the next FDA commissioner by December 31?

Who will Trump announce as next FDA commissioner?$10k liquidity$3k volumecloses 4.7mo
PoliticsTrumpTrump CabinetFDAKamaryFood and drug
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BUY YES

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Cost
10.1¢
Implied chance
10.1%
Return if right
890.1%
Spread cost
11%

If you put in $100

You get 990.1 shares at 10.1¢ each.

YES wins: $990.10 back, a profit of $890.10. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $114.87 of that profit. Without it you would make $1004.97.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy YES on Polymarket

Buy NO on Polymarket

BUY NO

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We keep it in one place with the price you saw, and email you when it settles or moves sharply. It is free, and the screener stays open to everyone either way.

Cost
92.0¢
Implied chance
92.0%
Return if right
8.7%
Spread cost
13%

If you put in $100

You get 108.7 shares at 92.0¢ each.

NO wins: $108.70 back, a profit of $8.70. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $1.25 of that profit. Without it you would make $9.95.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy NO on Polymarket

Latest news

headlines link to their publishers

No recent headlines matched this market. We only show an article when the names in the question appear in its headline, so a very local or very new market often has nothing. Showing nothing is deliberate: an unrelated story here would read like evidence about the price.

Headlines are matched on the names in “Will Trump announce Brett Giroir as the next FDA commissione”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.

How this market resolves

This market will resolve according to the first individual Donald Trump announces as his pick to be United States Food and Drug Administration (FDA) Commissioner. An announcement from Donald Trump or the Trump administration stating their intent to nominate a specific individual to be United States Food and Drug Administration (FDA) Commissioner will suffice to resolve this market, regardless of whether a formal nomination actually occurs. Qualifying announcements must explicitly present the relevant individual as the nominee or future nominee for FDA Commissioner. Announcements of acting or interim appointments, or announcements which merely reveal potential candidates, will not qualify. Media reports, speculation, or other unofficial information will not qualify. A formal presidential nomination of an individual to be United States Food and Drug Administration (FDA) Commissioner will also suffice to resolve this market. Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate. If Donald Trump does not announce his pick for the next United States Food and Drug Administration (FDA) Commissioner by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No announcement by December 31”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump and the Trump Administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Other outcomes in Who will Trump announce as next FDA commissioner?

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Will Trump announce Brett Giroir as the next FDA commissioner by December 31? (10% chance) | PullToPar