Will total votes cast in the first round of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Mississippi be between 900,000 and 1,000,000?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 26.1¢
- Implied chance
- 26.1%
- Return if right
- 283.1%
- Spread cost
- 13%
If you put in $100
You get 383.1 shares at 26.1¢ each.
YES wins: $383.14 back, a profit of $283.14. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $41.49 of that profit. Without it you would make $324.63.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 79.0¢
- Implied chance
- 79.0%
- Return if right
- 26.6%
- Spread cost
- 14%
If you put in $100
You get 126.6 shares at 79.0¢ each.
NO wins: $126.58 back, a profit of $26.58. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $4.22 of that profit. Without it you would make $30.80.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest: Sep 24, 04:21 AM3 outcomes stayed under 3% and are not plotted
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Sen. Tim Scott says GOP in "fight for our lives," sees path to holding SenateCBS News · 2h ago
- RNC chair predicts GOP keeps House, 53 Senate seatsThe Hill · 4h ago
- Timothy Mellon, a G.O.P. Billionaire, Pulls Back His Money From Senate RepublicansThe New York Times · 4h ago
- Mary Peltola’s Campaign in Alaska Senate Race Is Rocked by Tumult, With Angry Outbursts and SlursThe New York Times · 4h ago
- Gonzaga coach Mark Few on why he's urging the Senate to pass the Protect College Sports ActCBS News · 4h ago
- Exclusive: Thune plans another leader bid as Senate GOP fights to surviveAxios · 5h ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will total votes cast in the first round of the 2026 midterm…”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the first round of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Mississippi. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the first round of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Mississippi, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Other outcomes in Mississippi Senate Election: Turnout (First Round)
- Will total votes cast in the first round of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Mississippi be 1,100,000 or more?
- Will total votes cast in the first round of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Mississippi be between 700,000 and 800,000?
- Will total votes cast in the first round of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Mississippi be between 600,000 and 700,000?
- Will total votes cast in the first round of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Mississippi be less than 600,000?
- Will total votes cast in the first round of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Mississippi be between 800,000 and 900,000?
- Will total votes cast in the first round of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Mississippi be between 1,000,000 and 1,100,000?