Will total votes cast in the first round of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Georgia be between 3,800,000 and 4,000,000?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 45.0¢
- Implied chance
- 45.0%
- Return if right
- 122.2%
- Spread cost
- 54%
If you put in $100
You get 222.2 shares at 45.0¢ each.
YES wins: $222.22 back, a profit of $122.22. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $141.41 of that profit. Without it you would make $263.64.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 90.0¢
- Implied chance
- 90.0%
- Return if right
- 11.1%
- Spread cost
- 71%
If you put in $100
You get 111.1 shares at 90.0¢ each.
NO wins: $111.11 back, a profit of $11.11. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $26.82 of that profit. Without it you would make $37.93.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest: Aug 30, 05:28 AM2 further outcomes not shown
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Fact-Checking Senate Races in Georgia, Alaska and TexasThe New York Times · 20h ago
- In Georgia, Jon Ossoff Courts Broad Appeal With an Anti-Trump Script for Senate RaceThe New York Times · 20h ago
- Georgia senator Jon Ossoff slams racist posts allegedly from Republican opponent’s ex-stafferThe Guardian · 2d ago
- Ossoff picks up Flake endorsement in Georgia Senate raceThe Hill · 25d ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will total votes cast in the first round of the 2026 midterm…”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the first round of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Georgia. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the first round of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Georgia, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Other outcomes in Georgia Senate Election: Turnout (First Round)
- Will total votes cast in the first round of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Georgia be 4,800,000 or more?
- Will total votes cast in the first round of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Georgia be between 4,600,000 and 4,800,000?
- Will total votes cast in the first round of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Georgia be between 4,200,000 and 4,400,000?
- Will total votes cast in the first round of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Georgia be between 3,600,000 and 3,800,000?
- Will total votes cast in the first round of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Georgia be less than 3,600,000?
- Will total votes cast in the first round of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Georgia be between 4,400,000 and 4,600,000?
- Will total votes cast in the first round of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Georgia be between 4,000,000 and 4,200,000?