Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from West Virginia be 650,000 or more?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 39.0¢
- Implied chance
- 39.0%
- Return if right
- 156.4%
- Spread cost
- 61%
If you put in $100
You get 256.4 shares at 39.0¢ each.
YES wins: $256.41 back, a profit of $156.41. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $243.59 of that profit. Without it you would make $400.00.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 99.0¢
- Implied chance
- 99.0%
- Return if right
- 1.0%
- Spread cost
- 96%
If you put in $100
You get 101.0 shares at 99.0¢ each.
NO wins: $101.01 back, a profit of $1.01. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $23.99 of that profit. Without it you would make $25.00.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest: Aug 30, 10:37 AM1 further outcome not shown
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Ed Markey Defends Transgender Athletes in Massachusetts Senate RaceThe New York Times · 2h ago
- An 80-year-old senator says he’s the voice of his state’s youth. Many believe him.The Washington Post · 2h ago
- Michigan Senate candidate Mike Rogers says he saw Bin Laden’s body with his ‘own eyes’. He did notThe Guardian · 20h ago
- Viral Dearborn pastor delivers blunt warning on El-Sayed Senate bid: ‘Can you imagine?’Fox News · 23h ago
- Fact-Checking Senate Races in Georgia, Alaska and TexasThe New York Times · 1d ago
- In Georgia, Jon Ossoff Courts Broad Appeal With an Anti-Trump Script for Senate RaceThe New York Times · 1d ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senat…”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from West Virginia. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from West Virginia, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Other outcomes in West Virginia Senate Election: Turnout
- Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from West Virginia be between 550,000 and 600,000?
- Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from West Virginia be between 600,000 and 650,000?
- Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from West Virginia be between 500,000 and 550,000?
- Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from West Virginia be less than 400,000?
- Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from West Virginia be between 450,000 and 500,000?
- Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from West Virginia be between 400,000 and 450,000?