Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from South Carolina be between 1,600,000 and 1,800,000?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 30.0¢
- Implied chance
- 30.0%
- Return if right
- 233.3%
- Spread cost
- 9%
If you put in $100
You get 333.3 shares at 30.0¢ each.
YES wins: $333.33 back, a profit of $233.33. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $23.81 of that profit. Without it you would make $257.14.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 74.0¢
- Implied chance
- 74.0%
- Return if right
- 35.1%
- Spread cost
- 10%
If you put in $100
You get 135.1 shares at 74.0¢ each.
NO wins: $135.14 back, a profit of $35.14. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $3.75 of that profit. Without it you would make $38.89.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest: Sep 24, 03:31 AM2 outcomes stayed under 3% and are not plotted
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- GOP hold on South Carolina’s Senate seat is slippingThe Washington Post · 12h ago
- Cook Political Report shifts Kansas, South Carolina Senate races toward DemocratsThe Hill · 14h ago
- South Carolina Senate Democratic nominee: 'Medicare for All is a policy from a few decades ago'The Hill · 28d ago
- How Darline Graham took the South Carolina Republican Senate runoffCBS News · 29d ago
- Darline Graham, Trump's pick to replace Lindsey Graham, moves on in South Carolina Senate raceCBS News · 29d ago
- Darline Graham Wins South Carolina GOP Senate Primary RunoffNBC News · 29d ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senat…”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from South Carolina. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from South Carolina, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Other outcomes in South Carolina Senate Election: Turnout
- Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from South Carolina be 2,200,000 or more?
- Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from South Carolina be between 1,400,000 and 1,600,000?
- Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from South Carolina be less than 1,400,000?
- Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from South Carolina be between 1,800,000 and 2,000,000?
- Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from South Carolina be between 2,000,000 and 2,200,000?