Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Oregon be between 1,800,000 and 1,900,000?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 0.9¢
- Implied chance
- 0.9%
- Return if right
- 11011.1%
- Spread cost
- 17%
If you put in $100
You get 11111.1 shares at 0.9¢ each.
YES wins: $11111.11 back, a profit of $11011.11. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $2222.22 of that profit. Without it you would make $13233.33.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 99.4¢
- Implied chance
- 99.4%
- Return if right
- 0.6%
- Spread cost
- 20%
If you put in $100
You get 100.6 shares at 99.4¢ each.
NO wins: $100.60 back, a profit of $0.60. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $0.15 of that profit. Without it you would make $0.76.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest: Oct 12, 02:44 AM3 outcomes stayed under 3% and are not plotted
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Top Senate Republican calls Guilfoyle reports ‘very troubling’The Hill · 5h ago
- Takeaways from first S.C. Senate debate between Darline Graham, Annie AndrewsThe Washington Post · 5h ago
- Lone debate for South Carolina Senate gets testy: 5 takeawaysThe Hill · 6h ago
- South Carolina Senate rivals spar over Iran, AI and Trump in debateNBC News · 6h ago
- El-Sayed asked if he believes America is 'ready for a Muslim president' ahead of Senate raceFox News · 10h ago
- Trump could face a new threat in January: A Democratic SenateThe Washington Post · 10h ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senat…”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Oregon. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Oregon, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Other outcomes in Oregon Senate Election: Turnout
- Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Oregon be between 2,000,000 and 2,100,000?
- Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Oregon be between 2,100,000 and 2,200,000?
- Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Oregon be between 1,900,000 and 2,000,000?
- Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Oregon be between 1,500,000 and 1,600,000?
- Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Oregon be between 1,600,000 and 1,700,000?
- Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Oregon be between 1,700,000 and 1,800,000?
- Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Oregon be less than 1,500,000?
- Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Oregon be 2,200,000 or more?