Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from North Carolina be 4,700,000 or more?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 9.6¢
- Implied chance
- 9.6%
- Return if right
- 941.7%
- Spread cost
- 46%
If you put in $100
You get 1041.7 shares at 9.6¢ each.
YES wins: $1041.67 back, a profit of $941.67. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $810.19 of that profit. Without it you would make $1751.85.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 98.8¢
- Implied chance
- 98.8%
- Return if right
- 1.2%
- Spread cost
- 79%
If you put in $100
You get 101.2 shares at 98.8¢ each.
NO wins: $101.21 back, a profit of $1.21. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $4.49 of that profit. Without it you would make $5.71.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest: Sep 24, 03:46 AM1 outcome stayed under 3% and is not plotted1 further outcome not shown
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- NRSC Chair Tim Scott leaves Georgia, North Carolina off his list of top Senate targetsPolitico · 6h ago
- Nancy Mace: Republicans will ‘for SURE’ lose Senate race in North CarolinaThe Washington Post · 7h ago
- North Carolina GOP Senate nominee Michael Whatley reacts to farmer's criticism of tariffs, gas costsCBS News · 7d ago
- Trump stumps for Senate candidate in North Carolina as Republicans fear losing seatABC News · 7d ago
- North Carolina Dem Senate candidate added former Bloods gang member to criminal justice task force: reportFox News · 18d ago
- North Carolina Senate race between Cooper, Whatley tightens: PollThe Hill · 1mo ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senat…”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from North Carolina. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from North Carolina, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Other outcomes in North Carolina Senate Election: Turnout
- Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from North Carolina be between 3,900,000 and 4,100,000?
- Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from North Carolina be between 3,700,000 and 3,900,000?
- Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from North Carolina be less than 3,500,000?
- Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from North Carolina be between 3,500,000 and 3,700,000?
- Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from North Carolina be between 4,300,000 and 4,500,000?
- Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from North Carolina be between 4,100,000 and 4,300,000?
- Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from North Carolina be between 4,500,000 and 4,700,000?