Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from New Jersey be between 2,600,000 and 2,800,000?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 9.9¢
- Implied chance
- 9.9%
- Return if right
- 910.1%
- Spread cost
- 49%
If you put in $100
You get 1010.1 shares at 9.9¢ each.
YES wins: $1010.10 back, a profit of $910.10. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $876.69 of that profit. Without it you would make $1786.79.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 99.3¢
- Implied chance
- 99.3%
- Return if right
- 0.7%
- Spread cost
- 87%
If you put in $100
You get 100.7 shares at 99.3¢ each.
NO wins: $100.70 back, a profit of $0.70. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $4.89 of that profit. Without it you would make $5.60.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest: Sep 24, 03:30 AM1 outcome stayed under 3% and is not plotted2 further outcomes not shown
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- GOP senator says party in "fight for our lives," sees path to holding SenateCBS News · 37m ago
- RNC chair predicts GOP keeps House, 53 Senate seatsThe Hill · 2h ago
- Timothy Mellon, a G.O.P. Billionaire, Pulls Back His Money From Senate RepublicansThe New York Times · 3h ago
- Mary Peltola’s Campaign in Alaska Senate Race Is Rocked by Tumult, With Angry Outbursts and SlursThe New York Times · 3h ago
- Gonzaga coach Mark Few on why he's urging the Senate to pass the Protect College Sports ActCBS News · 3h ago
- Exclusive: Thune plans another leader bid as Senate GOP fights to surviveAxios · 4h ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senat…”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from New Jersey. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from New Jersey, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Other outcomes in New Jersey Senate Election: Turnout
- Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from New Jersey be less than 2,400,000?
- Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from New Jersey be between 2,800,000 and 3,000,000?
- Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from New Jersey be between 2,400,000 and 2,600,000?
- Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from New Jersey be between 3,000,000 and 3,200,000?
- Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from New Jersey be between 3,400,000 and 3,600,000?
- Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from New Jersey be between 3,200,000 and 3,400,000?
- Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from New Jersey be 3,800,000 or more?
- Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from New Jersey be between 3,600,000 and 3,800,000?