Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Nebraska be between 700,000 and 750,000?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 57.0¢
- Implied chance
- 57.0%
- Return if right
- 75.4%
- Spread cost
- 61%
If you put in $100
You get 175.4 shares at 57.0¢ each.
YES wins: $175.44 back, a profit of $75.44. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $118.68 of that profit. Without it you would make $194.12.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 89.0¢
- Implied chance
- 89.0%
- Return if right
- 12.4%
- Spread cost
- 76%
If you put in $100
You get 112.4 shares at 89.0¢ each.
NO wins: $112.36 back, a profit of $12.36. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $39.16 of that profit. Without it you would make $51.52.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest: Aug 26, 10:39 PM1 further outcome not shown
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Democrats in key House, Senate races sign AI regulation pledge amid data center scrutinyThe Hill · 40m ago
- US says Chinese-linked hackers attacked NASA, Senate, and gov’t agenciesAl Jazeera · 2h ago
- How Darline Graham’s Politics Compare With Her Brother’s as She Runs for SenateThe New York Times · 3h ago
- Alaska’s weird (and important) Senate raceThe Washington Post · 3h ago
- Dem senator turns ‘leader of the free world’ title on its head with Zelenskyy remarksFox News · 4h ago
- NASA, Fed, Senate among Chinese hackers' targets, Justice Department saysThe Hill · 4h ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senat…”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Nebraska. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Nebraska, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Other outcomes in Nebraska Senate Election: Turnout
- Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Nebraska be between 800,000 and 850,000?
- Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Nebraska be between 850,000 and 900,000?
- Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Nebraska be 900,000 or more?
- Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Nebraska be less than 650,000?
- Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Nebraska be between 750,000 and 800,000?
- Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Nebraska be between 650,000 and 700,000?