Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Nebraska be between 700,000 and 750,000?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 37.0¢
- Implied chance
- 37.0%
- Return if right
- 170.3%
- Spread cost
- 4%
If you put in $100
You get 270.3 shares at 37.0¢ each.
YES wins: $270.27 back, a profit of $170.27. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $7.51 of that profit. Without it you would make $177.78.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 65.0¢
- Implied chance
- 65.0%
- Return if right
- 53.8%
- Spread cost
- 4%
If you put in $100
You get 153.8 shares at 65.0¢ each.
NO wins: $153.85 back, a profit of $53.85. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $2.40 of that profit. Without it you would make $56.25.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest: Oct 11, 10:39 PM1 further outcome not shown
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Trump takes red state midterm blitz to Nebraska as GOP frets over Senate raceThe Hill · 7d ago
- Democrats eye Nebraska as an opportunity to take a Senate seat away from RepublicansNBC News · 12d ago
- Nebraska Senate candidate seems to confirm audio claiming Trump supporters' lives 'suck so f---ing bad'Fox News · 24d ago
- In leaked recording, Nebraska Senate candidate criticizes some Trump votersThe Washington Post · 25d ago
- GOP Sen. Pete Ricketts and independent opponent clash in fiery Nebraska Senate debateNBC News · 1mo ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senat…”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Nebraska. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Nebraska, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Other outcomes in Nebraska Senate Election: Turnout
- Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Nebraska be between 750,000 and 800,000?
- Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Nebraska be between 650,000 and 700,000?
- Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Nebraska be between 800,000 and 850,000?
- Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Nebraska be 900,000 or more?
- Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Nebraska be between 850,000 and 900,000?
- Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Nebraska be less than 650,000?