Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Louisiana be between 1,300,000 and 1,400,000?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 49.0¢
- Implied chance
- 49.0%
- Return if right
- 104.1%
- Spread cost
- 62%
If you put in $100
You get 204.1 shares at 49.0¢ each.
YES wins: $204.08 back, a profit of $104.08. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $166.29 of that profit. Without it you would make $270.37.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 95.0¢
- Implied chance
- 95.0%
- Return if right
- 5.3%
- Spread cost
- 86%
If you put in $100
You get 105.3 shares at 95.0¢ each.
NO wins: $105.26 back, a profit of $5.26. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $31.72 of that profit. Without it you would make $36.99.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest: Aug 24, 02:45 PM2 further outcomes not shown
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Ted Cruz says Texas Senate race will be a "$200 million" fightCBS News · 44m ago
- Expion Energy Acquires Louisiana Oil and Gas Assets in Strategic ExpansionYahoo Finance · 45m ago
- The Senate races that will define the Democratic PartyThe Hill · 2h ago
- Thune-aligned groups unleash historic war chest to defend Senate majority: 'Winning message'Fox News · 5h ago
- AI's massive appetite for power, water ignites fight in high-stakes Texas Senate raceFox News · 5h ago
- Iowa Senate candidates zero in on cancer crisis as key race tightensThe Hill · 5h ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senat…”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Louisiana. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Louisiana, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Other outcomes in Louisiana Senate Election: Turnout
- Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Louisiana be between 1,600,000 and 1,700,000?
- Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Louisiana be between 1,400,000 and 1,500,000?
- Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Louisiana be between 1,500,000 and 1,600,000?
- Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Louisiana be less than 1,100,000?
- Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Louisiana be 1,700,000 or more?
- Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Louisiana be between 1,100,000 and 1,200,000?
- Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Louisiana be between 1,200,000 and 1,300,000?