Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Louisiana be between 1,300,000 and 1,400,000?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 38.7¢
- Implied chance
- 38.7%
- Return if right
- 158.4%
- Spread cost
- 60%
If you put in $100
You get 258.4 shares at 38.7¢ each.
YES wins: $258.40 back, a profit of $158.40. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $234.21 of that profit. Without it you would make $392.61.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 98.1¢
- Implied chance
- 98.1%
- Return if right
- 1.9%
- Spread cost
- 92%
If you put in $100
You get 101.9 shares at 98.1¢ each.
NO wins: $101.94 back, a profit of $1.94. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $23.53 of that profit. Without it you would make $25.47.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest: Oct 8, 06:17 PM1 outcome stayed under 3% and is not plotted1 further outcome not shown
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Where top Democrat Senate candidates and their GOP opponents stand on trans athletes in women's sportsFox News · 3h ago
- Trump calls for Paxton-Talarico debate as Texas Senate race heats upThe Washington Post · 3h ago
- Senate Republicans give it one more last chanceThe Hill · 3h ago
- Brown holds 6-point lead over Husted in Ohio Senate race surveyThe Hill · 3h ago
- Kansas joins a tightening Senate map as Election Day nearsThe Hill · 4h ago
- Bipartisan Senate duo proposes filibuster rules reform to fix gridlockThe Hill · 4h ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senat…”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Louisiana. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Louisiana, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Other outcomes in Louisiana Senate Election: Turnout
- Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Louisiana be between 1,400,000 and 1,500,000?
- Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Louisiana be between 1,500,000 and 1,600,000?
- Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Louisiana be between 1,200,000 and 1,300,000?
- Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Louisiana be less than 1,100,000?
- Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Louisiana be between 1,100,000 and 1,200,000?
- Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Louisiana be between 1,600,000 and 1,700,000?
- Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Louisiana be 1,700,000 or more?