Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Idaho be less than 480,000?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 16.0¢
- Implied chance
- 16.0%
- Return if right
- 525.0%
- Spread cost
- 22%
If you put in $100
You get 625.0 shares at 16.0¢ each.
YES wins: $625.00 back, a profit of $525.00. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $144.23 of that profit. Without it you would make $669.23.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 90.0¢
- Implied chance
- 90.0%
- Return if right
- 11.1%
- Spread cost
- 26%
If you put in $100
You get 111.1 shares at 90.0¢ each.
NO wins: $111.11 back, a profit of $11.11. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $3.83 of that profit. Without it you would make $14.94.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest: Aug 24, 02:45 PM2 further outcomes not shown
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Vulnerable GOP senator breaks with Trump on 2 key issues as Vance makes stop without herFox News · 14m ago
- Alaska Senate race’s absurd name problem gets even harder to untangleFox News · 54m ago
- Ted Cruz says Texas Senate race will be a "$200 million" fightCBS News · 2h ago
- The Senate races that will define the Democratic PartyThe Hill · 3h ago
- Thune-aligned groups unleash historic war chest to defend Senate majority: 'Winning message'Fox News · 6h ago
- AI's massive appetite for power, water ignites fight in high-stakes Texas Senate raceFox News · 6h ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senat…”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Idaho. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Idaho, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Other outcomes in Idaho Senate Election: Turnout
- Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Idaho be between 480,000 and 520,000?
- Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Idaho be between 680,000 and 720,000?
- Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Idaho be between 520,000 and 560,000?
- Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Idaho be between 560,000 and 600,000?
- Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Idaho be between 640,000 and 680,000?
- Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Idaho be between 600,000 and 640,000?
- Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Idaho be 720,000 or more?