Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Florida be between 8,750,000 and 9,000,000?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 29.0¢
- Implied chance
- 29.0%
- Return if right
- 244.8%
- Spread cost
- 44%
If you put in $100
You get 344.8 shares at 29.0¢ each.
YES wins: $344.83 back, a profit of $244.83. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $195.71 of that profit. Without it you would make $440.54.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 92.0¢
- Implied chance
- 92.0%
- Return if right
- 8.7%
- Spread cost
- 62%
If you put in $100
You get 108.7 shares at 92.0¢ each.
NO wins: $108.70 back, a profit of $8.70. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $14.00 of that profit. Without it you would make $22.70.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest: Aug 30, 02:26 AM4 further outcomes not shown
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Donalds picks state senator as running mate for Florida governorThe Hill · 4d ago
- Florida Democrat Senate nominee Angie Nixon insists ‘I’m not a socialist’ after joining DSAFox News · 8d ago
- "Stop gaslighting me!": Florida Democrats' Senate nominee and party chair have heated call over socialismAxios · 8d ago
- Sanders endorses Nixon in Florida Senate raceThe Hill · 9d ago
- Florida Senate candidate Angie Nixon defends drag shows as 'wholesome' for children, brought her kids to oneFox News · 9d ago
- How DSA candidate Angie Nixon pulled off a Florida Senate primary upsetThe Hill · 10d ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senat…”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Florida. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Florida, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Other outcomes in Florida Senate Election: Turnout
- Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Florida be between 7,750,000 and 8,000,000?
- Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Florida be between 7,000,000 and 7,250,000?
- Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Florida be less than 7,000,000?
- Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Florida be between 8,000,000 and 8,250,000?
- Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Florida be between 7,250,000 and 7,500,000?
- Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Florida be between 8,500,000 and 8,750,000?
- Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Florida be between 7,500,000 and 7,750,000?
- Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Florida be between 8,250,000 and 8,500,000?
- Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Florida be 9,000,000 or more?