Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Pennsylvania be 6,500,000 or more?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 23.0¢
- Implied chance
- 23.0%
- Return if right
- 334.8%
- Spread cost
- 19%
If you put in $100
You get 434.8 shares at 23.0¢ each.
YES wins: $434.78 back, a profit of $334.78. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $78.04 of that profit. Without it you would make $412.82.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 84.0¢
- Implied chance
- 84.0%
- Return if right
- 19.0%
- Spread cost
- 21%
If you put in $100
You get 119.0 shares at 84.0¢ each.
NO wins: $119.05 back, a profit of $19.05. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $5.18 of that profit. Without it you would make $24.22.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest: Sep 2, 06:35 AM1 further outcome not shown
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- US health authorities dispute Pennsylvania’s measles-related deathsAl Jazeera · 13h ago
- CDC, Pennsylvania clash over measles deathsThe Hill · 13h ago
- C.D.C. Director Challenges Pennsylvania’s Report of Two Measles DeathsThe New York Times · 1d ago
- US health officials exclude measles-related deaths in Pennsylvania from countsThe Guardian · 1d ago
- JONATHAN TURLEY: University of Pennsylvania professor calls for litmus test for all Democratic candidatesFox News · 2d ago
- Pennsylvania commissioner accuses Shapiro of 'deceptive' measles death framing as RFK Jr blasts Dem governorFox News · 4d ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Gover…”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Pennsylvania. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Pennsylvania, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Other outcomes in Pennsylvania Governor Election: Turnout
- Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Pennsylvania be between 4,000,000 and 4,500,000?
- Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Pennsylvania be between 5,000,000 and 5,500,000?
- Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Pennsylvania be between 6,000,000 and 6,500,000?
- Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Pennsylvania be between 4,500,000 and 5,000,000?
- Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Pennsylvania be less than 4,000,000?
- Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Pennsylvania be between 5,500,000 and 6,000,000?