Will Tommy Fleetwood win the 2026 TOUR Championship?

Q: Will Tommy Fleetwood win the 2026 TOUR Championship?

Prediction markets currently price this at 7%. A YES share costs 7.2¢ and pays $1 if it happens. That is a return of 1288.9% over 21d.

FedEx Cup Playoffs: Winner$1k liquidity$2k volumecloses 21d

PGAGolfSportsPGA TOUR

Trade on Polymarket

BUY YES

Cost: 7.2¢
Implied chance: 7.2%
Return if right: 1288.9%
Spread cost: 21%

If you put in $100

You get 1388.9 shares at 7.2¢ each.

YES wins: $1388.89 back, a profit of $1288.89. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $335.25 of that profit. Without it you would make $1624.14.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy YES on Polymarket

BUY NO

Cost: 95.6¢
Implied chance: 95.6%
Return if right: 4.6%
Spread cost: 25%

If you put in $100

You get 104.6 shares at 95.6¢ each.

NO wins: $104.60 back, a profit of $4.60. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $1.55 of that profit. Without it you would make $6.16.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy NO on Polymarket

Chance over time

1H 6H 1D 1W 1M ALL

Latest: Aug 10, 06:05 PM2 outcomes stayed under 3% and are not plotted2 further outcomes not shown

Latest news

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No recent headlines matched this market. We only show an article when the names in the question appear in its headline, so a very local or very new market often has nothing. Showing nothing is deliberate: an unrelated story here would read like evidence about the price.

Headlines are matched on the names in “Will Tommy Fleetwood win the 2026 TOUR Championship?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.

How this market resolves

This market will resolve according to the listed player who wins the 2026 TOUR Championship tournament. If a listed player withdraws, is disqualified, does not participate or is eliminated from contention for the 2026 TOUR Championship tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No". If an unlisted player wins the 2026 TOUR Championship tournament this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Tour official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If no winner is announced by September 15, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Tour website (https://www.pgatour.com/).