Will Together win 17-19 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?

Q: Will Together win 17-19 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?

Prediction markets currently price this at 8%. A YES share costs 7.8¢ and pays $1 if it happens. That is a return of 1182.1% over 2.2mo.

Israel Election: Together # of seats?$514 liquidity$205 volumecloses 2.2mo

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Trade on Polymarket

BUY YES

Cost: 7.8¢
Implied chance: 7.8%
Return if right: 1182.1%
Spread cost: 38%

If you put in $100

You get 1282.1 shares at 7.8¢ each.

YES wins: $1282.05 back, a profit of $1182.05. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $717.95 of that profit. Without it you would make $1900.00.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy YES on Polymarket

BUY NO

Cost: 97.8¢
Implied chance: 97.8%
Return if right: 2.2%
Spread cost: 57%

If you put in $100

You get 102.2 shares at 97.8¢ each.

NO wins: $102.25 back, a profit of $2.25. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $3.01 of that profit. Without it you would make $5.26.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy NO on Polymarket

Chance over time

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Latest: Sep 24, 09:57 AM

Latest news

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How this market resolves

Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Together in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election. If Together contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Together merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted. If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Together in this election. This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).