Will Tina Browne be the next Prime Minister of the Cook Islands following the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 5.4¢
- Implied chance
- 5.4%
- Return if right
- 1751.9%
- Spread cost
- 46%
If you put in $100
You get 1851.9 shares at 5.4¢ each.
YES wins: $1851.85 back, a profit of $1751.85. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $1481.48 of that profit. Without it you would make $3233.33.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 99.4¢
- Implied chance
- 99.4%
- Return if right
- 0.6%
- Spread cost
- 80%
If you put in $100
You get 100.6 shares at 99.4¢ each.
NO wins: $100.60 back, a profit of $0.60. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $2.49 of that profit. Without it you would make $3.09.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest: Sep 24, 11:05 AM1 outcome stayed under 3% and is not plotted
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Diane Von Furstenberg to Honor Jane Fonda in Venice; Tina Brown and Karlie Kloss to PresentThe Hollywood Reporter · 23d ago
- Cook Islands election: PM Mark Brown speaks on the diplomatic crises that defined his yearThe Guardian · 1mo ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will Tina Browne be the next Prime Minister of the Cook Isl…”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
Parliamentary elections to elect the Parliament of the Cook Islands are scheduled to take place on August 12, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Cook Islands following the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Cook Islands; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.