Will Thorsten Meyer win the next Hannover mayoral election?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 0.2¢
- Implied chance
- 0.2%
- Return if right
- 49900.0%
- Spread cost
- 25%
If you put in $100
You get 50000.0 shares at 0.2¢ each.
YES wins: $50000.00 back, a profit of $49900.00. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $16666.67 of that profit. Without it you would make $66566.67.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 99.9¢
- Implied chance
- 99.9%
- Return if right
- 0.1%
- Spread cost
- 33%
If you put in $100
You get 100.1 shares at 99.9¢ each.
NO wins: $100.10 back, a profit of $0.10. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $0.05 of that profit. Without it you would make $0.15.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
- Thorsten Meyer0.1%
- Axel von der Ohe40.5%
- Belit Onay49.5%
- Maren Kaminski2.9%
- Peter Karst4.0%
- Jessica Schülke3.4%
Latest: Aug 10, 04:14 PM3 outcomes stayed under 3% and are not plotted
Latest news
headlines link to their publishersHeadlines are matched on the names in “Will Thorsten Meyer win the next Hannover mayoral election?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
The next Hannover mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 13, 2026, to elect the mayor of Hannover, Germany (Oberbürgermeister der Landeshauptstadt Hannover). A runoff election is scheduled for September 27, 2026, if no candidate receives more than half of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Hannover as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.” The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Landeshauptstadt Hannover, including its election office and municipal election committee.
Other outcomes in Hannover Mayoral Election Winner
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- Will Muammer Duran win the next Hannover mayoral election?
- Will Maren Kaminski win the next Hannover mayoral election?
- Will Jessica Schülke win the next Hannover mayoral election?
- Will Peter Karst win the next Hannover mayoral election?
- Will Axel von der Ohe win the next Hannover mayoral election?
- Will Belit Onay win the next Hannover mayoral election?