Will there be between 105m and 110m votes cast in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 11.6¢
- Implied chance
- 11.6%
- Return if right
- 762.1%
- Spread cost
- 37%
If you put in $100
You get 862.1 shares at 11.6¢ each.
YES wins: $862.07 back, a profit of $762.07. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $445.12 of that profit. Without it you would make $1207.19.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 96.3¢
- Implied chance
- 96.3%
- Return if right
- 3.8%
- Spread cost
- 54%
If you put in $100
You get 103.8 shares at 96.3¢ each.
NO wins: $103.84 back, a profit of $3.84. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $4.44 of that profit. Without it you would make $8.28.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest: Aug 10, 06:21 PM4 further outcomes not shown
Latest news
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Headlines are matched on the names in “Will there be between 105m and 110m votes cast in the 2026 U…”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections. Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
Other outcomes in 2026 Midterms: House Turnout
- Will there be between 90m and 95m votes cast in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections?
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- Will there be between 115m and 120m votes cast in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections?
- Will there be between 120m and 125m votes cast in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections?
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