Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on August 31?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 77.0¢
- Implied chance
- 77.0%
- Return if right
- 29.9%
- Spread cost
- 17%
If you put in $100
You get 129.9 shares at 77.0¢ each.
YES wins: $129.87 back, a profit of $29.87. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $6.18 of that profit. Without it you would make $36.05.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 30.0¢
- Implied chance
- 30.0%
- Return if right
- 233.3%
- Spread cost
- 16%
If you put in $100
You get 333.3 shares at 30.0¢ each.
NO wins: $333.33 back, a profit of $233.33. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $44.03 of that profit. Without it you would make $277.36.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest: Aug 28, 11:14 PM
Latest news
headlines link to their publishersNo recent headlines matched this market. We only show an article when the names in the question appear in its headline, so a very local or very new market often has nothing. Showing nothing is deliberate: an unrelated story here would read like evidence about the price.
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on August 31…”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
A "full lid" at the White House is an official announcement indicating that the President's public activities for the day have concluded and no further public events, appearances, or news are expected. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the White House Press Office calls a full lid for the specified date by 6:30 PM ET on that date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Only a full lid will qualify; lunch lids, intermissions, or any other press lid not explicitly listed as a full lid will not be sufficient to qualify this market towards a "Yes" resolution. A qualifying full lid may be reported by the resolution sources through 11:59 PM ET on the following day, provided the source indicates that it was called by the 6:30 PM ET cutoff. This market will resolve according to the time listed by Roll Call of the first full lid called in the daily calendar (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/). If Roll Call does not list a lid time or is for any reason unavailable, this market will resolve according to Forth (https://www.forth.news/whpool).
Other outcomes in Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM? (August 31 - September 5)
- Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on September 4?
- Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on September 3?
- Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on September 1?
- Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on September 2?
- Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on September 5?