Will the Washington Commanders win more than 7.5 games in the 2026 NFL Regular Season?

Q: Will the Washington Commanders win more than 7.5 games in the 2026 NFL Regular Season?

Prediction markets currently price this at 39%. A YES share costs 39.0¢ and pays $1 if it happens. That is a return of 156.4% over 3.3mo.

Pro Football: 2026 Regular Season Win Totals$3k liquidity$5k volumecloses 3.3mo

NFL (All)Sportsfootballwin totals

Trade on Polymarket

BUY YES

Cost: 39.0¢
Implied chance: 39.0%
Return if right: 156.4%
Spread cost: 4%

If you put in $100

You get 256.4 shares at 39.0¢ each.

YES wins: $256.41 back, a profit of $156.41. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $6.75 of that profit. Without it you would make $163.16.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy YES on Polymarket

BUY NO

Cost: 63.0¢
Implied chance: 63.0%
Return if right: 58.7%
Spread cost: 4%

If you put in $100

You get 158.7 shares at 63.0¢ each.

NO wins: $158.73 back, a profit of $58.73. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $2.56 of that profit. Without it you would make $61.29.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy NO on Polymarket

Chance over time

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Latest: Oct 8, 12:55 AM4 further outcomes not shown

Latest news

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How this market resolves

This market will resolve according to the final regular season record of the listed team during the 2026 NFL Regular Season. If the listed team records more than the listed number of wins, the corresponding market will resolve to its corresponding "Over". Otherwise, it will resolve to its corresponding "Under". If at any point it becomes statistically impossible for the listed team to record more than the listed number of wins per the rules of the NFL, the corresponding market will resolve to its corresponding "Under". If the NFL Regular Season is cancelled, partially completed, or postponed after January 15, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, these markets will resolve to "50-50". The resolution source will be official information from the National Football League (https://www.nfl.com); however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Source: https://www.nfl.com