Will the Virginia abortion protection amendment pass?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 91.0¢
- Implied chance
- 91.0%
- Return if right
- 9.9%
- Spread cost
- 6%
If you put in $100
You get 109.9 shares at 91.0¢ each.
YES wins: $109.89 back, a profit of $9.89. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $0.61 of that profit. Without it you would make $10.50.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 10.0¢
- Implied chance
- 10.0%
- Return if right
- 900.0%
- Spread cost
- 6%
If you put in $100
You get 1000.0 shares at 10.0¢ each.
NO wins: $1000.00 back, a profit of $900.00. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $52.63 of that profit. Without it you would make $952.63.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Virginia woman says ICE agent pointed gun at her, denies trying to run over agentsABC News · 15h ago
- New ICE controversy as officer filmed pointing gun at woman in VirginiaThe Hill · 17h ago
- Video shows ICE agent pull gun on Virginia woman who yelled at agents in parking lotNBC News · 1d ago
- Dem governor booed at Virginia Old Fiddlers' ConventionFox News · 2d ago
- 'DEI queen': Virginia Dem's past embrace of far-left prosecutors unearthedFox News · 5d ago
- A look at 'Operation Country Roads,' West Virginia's ICE operationNPR · 7d ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will the Virginia abortion protection amendment pass?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
Virginia voters are scheduled to vote in the November 3, 2026 midterm elections on a constitutional amendment which, if passed, would establish a constitutional right to reproductive freedom in the state. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Virginia Right to Reproductive Freedom constitutional amendment passes according to Virginia election procedure. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” If this constitutional amendment is removed from the November 3, 2026 ballot in Virginia, this market will resolve immediately to “No.” If, for any reason, the results of this vote are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No.” This market will resolve based on the results of the vote according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results reported by the Commonwealth of Virginia, specifically the Virginia Department of Elections (https://www.elections.virginia.gov/results/).