Will the US Senate pass at least $20 billion in supplemental War Funding by September 30?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 12.9¢
- Implied chance
- 12.9%
- Return if right
- 675.2%
- Spread cost
- 23%
If you put in $100
You get 775.2 shares at 12.9¢ each.
YES wins: $775.19 back, a profit of $675.19. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $205.20 of that profit. Without it you would make $880.39.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 92.5¢
- Implied chance
- 92.5%
- Return if right
- 8.1%
- Spread cost
- 29%
If you put in $100
You get 108.1 shares at 92.5¢ each.
NO wins: $108.11 back, a profit of $8.11. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $3.25 of that profit. Without it you would make $11.36.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest news
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How this market resolves
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes a bill that, if enacted, would provide at least $20 billion in supplemental funding to the Department of Defense or otherwise to the United States military by September 30, 2026 at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government publications (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.