UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?

UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?$44k liquidity$141k volumecloses 4.7mo
PoliticsGeopoliticsPeace DealIran
Trade on Polymarket
Buy YES on Polymarket

BUY YES

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Cost
23.0¢
Implied chance
23.0%
Return if right
334.8%
Spread cost
6%

If you put in $100

You get 434.8 shares at 23.0¢ each.

YES wins: $434.78 back, a profit of $334.78. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $19.76 of that profit. Without it you would make $354.55.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy YES on Polymarket

Buy NO on Polymarket

BUY NO

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We keep it in one place with the price you saw, and email you when it settles or moves sharply. It is free, and the screener stays open to everyone either way.

Cost
79.0¢
Implied chance
79.0%
Return if right
26.6%
Spread cost
6%

If you put in $100

You get 126.6 shares at 79.0¢ each.

NO wins: $126.58 back, a profit of $26.58. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $1.62 of that profit. Without it you would make $28.21.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy NO on Polymarket

Chance over time

0%25%50%75%100%22%Aug 10Aug 10

Latest: Aug 10, 10:26 PM

Latest news

headlines link to their publishers

No recent headlines matched this market. We only show an article when the names in the question appear in its headline, so a very local or very new market often has nothing. Showing nothing is deliberate: an unrelated story here would read like evidence about the price.

Headlines are matched on the names in “UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 3”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.

How this market resolves

On June 14, 2026, the United States and Iran announced a written diplomatic agreement, which stated in Clause 14 that it would culminate in a “final deal” to be endorsed by a binding United Nations Security Council resolution. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United Nations Security Council formally adopts a resolution that endorses, approves, implements, gives legal effect to, or incorporates such a “final deal” by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The “final U.S.-Iran deal” refers to a diplomatic agreement identified as the final deal contemplated by the June 14, 2026, memorandum of understanding, either in the text of the resolution, official United States or Iranian communications, or by a consensus of credible reporting. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

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