Will the total domestic gross for The Odyssey be between 490m and 510m by August 31?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 1.7¢
- Implied chance
- 1.7%
- Return if right
- 5782.4%
- Spread cost
- 30%
If you put in $100
You get 5882.4 shares at 1.7¢ each.
YES wins: $5882.35 back, a profit of $5782.35. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $2450.98 of that profit. Without it you would make $8233.33.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 99.3¢
- Implied chance
- 99.3%
- Return if right
- 0.7%
- Spread cost
- 42%
If you put in $100
You get 100.7 shares at 99.3¢ each.
NO wins: $100.70 back, a profit of $0.70. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $0.51 of that profit. Without it you would make $1.21.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest: Aug 10, 08:39 PM1 outcome stayed under 3% and is not plotted
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- China Box Office: ‘Spider-Man’ Holds No. 1 as ‘The Odyssey’ Storms PreviewsThe Hollywood Reporter · 16h ago
- Korea Box Office: ‘The Odyssey’ Bests ‘Spider-Man: Brand New Day’Variety · 16h ago
- China Box Office: ‘Spider-Man: Brand New Day’ Retains Crown as ‘Once Upon a Time in the Middle East,’ ‘The Odyssey’ Surge in PreviewsVariety · 17h ago
- 'The Odyssey' inspires surging travel interest in real-world locations behind the blockbusterFox News · 1d ago
- ‘The Odyssey’ Is Christopher Nolan’s Highest-Grossing Movie Ever With $1.1 Billion and Imax’s Biggest Release of All Time With $289 MillionVariety · 1d ago
- ‘The Odyssey’ Makes History as Christopher Nolan’s Top-Grossing Movie Ever, Beating ‘Dark Knight Rises’The Hollywood Reporter · 1d ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will the total domestic gross for The Odyssey be between 490…”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve according to how much "The Odyssey" box office will gross domestically by August 31, 2026. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for all dates between opening (July 17, 2026) and August 31, 2026 are final (i.e., not studio estimates). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including August 31, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures. If there is no final data available by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Other outcomes in "The Odyssey" total domestic gross by August 31? (Higher Strikes)
- Will the total domestic gross for The Odyssey be between 550m and 570m by August 31?
- Will the total domestic gross for The Odyssey be between 530m and 550m by August 31?
- Will the total domestic gross for The Odyssey be at least 570m by August 31?
- Will the total domestic gross for The Odyssey be between 510m and 530m by August 31?
- Will the total domestic gross for The Odyssey be less than 490m by August 31?