Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 600m and 700m by August 31?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 0.1¢
- Implied chance
- 0.1%
- Return if right
- 99900.0%
- Spread cost
- n/a
If you put in $100
You get 100000.0 shares at 0.1¢ each.
YES wins: $100000.00 back, a profit of $99900.00. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
Latest: Aug 10, 07:11 PM2 outcomes stayed under 3% and are not plotted
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Korea Box Office: ‘The Odyssey’ Bests ‘Spider-Man: Brand New Day’Variety · 13h ago
- China Box Office: ‘Spider-Man: Brand New Day’ Retains Crown as ‘Once Upon a Time in the Middle East,’ ‘The Odyssey’ Surge in PreviewsVariety · 14h ago
- ‘Spider-Man: Brand New Day’ Becomes Second-Fastest Movie to Hit $1 Billion Overseas, Powers to $1.67 Billion GloballyVariety · 1d ago
- Box Office: ‘Spider-Man: Brand New Day’ Flies to Third-Biggest Second Weekend of All Time With $145 MillionVariety · 1d ago
- Box Office: ‘Spider-Man: Brand New Day’ Swings into Second Weekend With $43 Million on FridayVariety · 2d ago
- ‘Spider-Man: Brand New Day’ Scores $145M for Third-Best Second Weekend EverThe Hollywood Reporter · 2d ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day …”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" box office will gross domestically by August 31, 2026. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for all dates between opening (July 31, 2026) and August 31, 2026 are final (i.e., not studio estimates). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including August 31, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures. If there is no final data available by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Other outcomes in "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by August 31?
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 700m and 800m by August 31?
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 400m and 500m by August 31?
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be less than 400m by August 31?
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 800m and 900m by August 31?
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 500m and 600m by August 31?