Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win the third most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 0.4¢
- Implied chance
- 0.4%
- Return if right
- 24900.0%
- Spread cost
- 38%
If you put in $100
You get 25000.0 shares at 0.4¢ each.
YES wins: $25000.00 back, a profit of $24900.00. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $15000.00 of that profit. Without it you would make $39900.00.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 99.9¢
- Implied chance
- 99.9%
- Return if right
- 0.1%
- Spread cost
- 60%
If you put in $100
You get 100.1 shares at 99.9¢ each.
NO wins: $100.10 back, a profit of $0.10. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $0.15 of that profit. Without it you would make $0.25.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
- Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)0.3%
- Moderate Party (M)79.5%
- Sweden Democrats (SD)20.0%
- Centre Party (C)0.5%
- Left Party (V)0.4%
- Green Party (MP)0.6%
Latest: Aug 10, 11:08 AM3 further outcomes not shown
Latest news
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How this market resolves
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election. If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Other outcomes in Sweden Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place
- Will the Centre Party (C) win the third most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?
- Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the third most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?
- Will the Left Party (V) win the third most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?
- Will the Citizens' Coalition (MED) win the third most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?
- Will the Christian Democrats (KD) win the third most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?
- Will the Green Party (MP) win the third most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?
- Will the Liberals (L) win the third most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?
- Will the Moderate Party (M) win the third most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?