Will the San Francisco 49ers have more than 8.5 wins during the 2026 NFL season?

Q: Will the San Francisco 49ers have more than 8.5 wins during the 2026 NFL season?

Prediction markets currently price this at 91%. A YES share costs 91.0¢ and pays $1 if it happens. That is a return of 9.9% over 4.3mo.

Pro Football: 49ers 2026 Win Total$257 liquidity$120 volumecloses 4.3mo

NFL (All)Sportsfootballwin totalsHide From New

Trade on Polymarket

BUY YES

Cost: 91.0¢
Implied chance: 91.0%
Return if right: 9.9%
Spread cost: 24%

If you put in $100

You get 109.9 shares at 91.0¢ each.

YES wins: $109.89 back, a profit of $9.89. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $3.10 of that profit. Without it you would make $12.99.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy YES on Polymarket

BUY NO

Cost: 14.0¢
Implied chance: 14.0%
Return if right: 614.3%
Spread cost: 20%

If you put in $100

You get 714.3 shares at 14.0¢ each.

NO wins: $714.29 back, a profit of $614.29. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $155.28 of that profit. Without it you would make $769.57.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy NO on Polymarket

Chance over time

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Latest: Oct 8, 12:57 AM

Latest news

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How this market resolves

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team's regular season win total exceeds the listed number. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". Only official regular-season games count. Playoff games, including Wild Card, Divisional, Conference Championship, and Pro Football Championship games, do not count. Only played games resulting in a win will count toward this total. If the listed team plays fewer games than scheduled due to cancellation, weather, forfeit, or any other reason, only actual wins recorded count toward the total; canceled or unplayed games do not count as wins. If the 2026 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed after February 15, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined how many wins the listed team recorded within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be official NFL records (https://www.nfl.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Source: https://www.nfl.com