Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Attorney General election?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 83.0¢
- Implied chance
- 83.0%
- Return if right
- 20.5%
- Spread cost
- 7%
If you put in $100
You get 120.5 shares at 83.0¢ each.
YES wins: $120.48 back, a profit of $20.48. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $1.47 of that profit. Without it you would make $21.95.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 19.0¢
- Implied chance
- 19.0%
- Return if right
- 426.3%
- Spread cost
- 6%
If you put in $100
You get 526.3 shares at 19.0¢ each.
NO wins: $526.32 back, a profit of $426.32. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $29.24 of that profit. Without it you would make $455.56.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest: Sep 22, 08:48 AM
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton announces distribution of more than 7 million free eggs statewideFox News · 14d ago
- Former Texas attorney general aide, Paxton whistleblower backs Talarico in attack adThe Hill · 15d ago
- Texas Attorney General investigates military healthcare contractor TriWestNBC News · 19d ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Attor…”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the 2026 Texas Attorney General election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party. If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.