Will the price of Bitcoin be between $88,000 and $90,000 on October 2?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 3.0¢
- Implied chance
- 3.0%
- Return if right
- 3233.3%
- Spread cost
- 27%
If you put in $100
You get 3333.3 shares at 3.0¢ each.
YES wins: $3333.33 back, a profit of $3233.33. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $1212.12 of that profit. Without it you would make $4445.45.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 98.6¢
- Implied chance
- 98.6%
- Return if right
- 1.4%
- Spread cost
- 37%
If you put in $100
You get 101.4 shares at 98.6¢ each.
NO wins: $101.42 back, a profit of $1.42. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $0.83 of that profit. Without it you would make $2.25.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest: Oct 2, 02:15 PM4 further outcomes not shown
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Bitcoin nears highest level since January as $85,000 sell wall clears, US jobs data disappointsThe Block · 42m ago
- 'Uptober' Off With a Bang as Bitcoin Surges to $86KDecrypt · 1h ago
- Live updates: Bitcoin trading near $87,000 after big miss on U.S. jobsCoinDesk · 3h ago
- Bitcoin treasuries may struggle to match Strategy, says AmmousCointelegraph · 3h ago
- Bitcoin treasuries may struggle to match Strategy, says AmmousCointelegraph · 3h ago
- Crypto traders are in risk-on mode as bitcoin dominance nears return to 60%CoinDesk · 4h ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will the price of Bitcoin be between $88,000 and $90,000 on …”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
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