Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on August 19?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 1.5¢
- Implied chance
- 1.5%
- Return if right
- 6566.7%
- Spread cost
- 14%
If you put in $100
You get 6666.7 shares at 1.5¢ each.
YES wins: $6666.67 back, a profit of $6566.67. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $1025.64 of that profit. Without it you would make $7592.31.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 98.9¢
- Implied chance
- 98.9%
- Return if right
- 1.1%
- Spread cost
- 16%
If you put in $100
You get 101.1 shares at 98.9¢ each.
NO wins: $101.11 back, a profit of $1.11. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $0.20 of that profit. Without it you would make $1.32.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
- 66,000-68,0001.3%
- 64,000-66,00060.5%
- 60,000-62,0000.4%
- 58,000-60,0000.1%
- 56,000-58,0000.1%
- 54,000-56,0000.1%
Latest: Aug 19, 09:50 AM4 further outcomes not shown
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Live updates: Bitcoin remains above $64,000 as oil rises and the Kospi tumbles 6%CoinDesk · 46m ago
- Bitcoin ETFs add $189M as August net inflows approach $1BCointelegraph · 2h ago
- Maya Protocol exploit drains bitcoin and other assets as pool value drops $11 millionCoinDesk · 3h ago
- Bitcoin holds $64,000 and solana leads gains amid 7% Korean chip stock slideCoinDesk · 5h ago
- BitBox Warns Bitcoiners After Discovering ‘Severe’ Vulnerability In FirmwareBitcoin Magazine · 13h ago
- Bitcoin correction may be nearing an end with 8 of 12 capitulation signals flashing, VanEck saysThe Block · 15h ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on …”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
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