Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on August 12?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 0.6¢
- Implied chance
- 0.6%
- Return if right
- 16566.7%
- Spread cost
- 17%
If you put in $100
You get 16666.7 shares at 0.6¢ each.
YES wins: $16666.67 back, a profit of $16566.67. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $3333.33 of that profit. Without it you would make $19900.00.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 99.6¢
- Implied chance
- 99.6%
- Return if right
- 0.4%
- Spread cost
- 20%
If you put in $100
You get 100.4 shares at 99.6¢ each.
NO wins: $100.40 back, a profit of $0.40. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $0.10 of that profit. Without it you would make $0.50.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest: Aug 11, 11:23 PM1 outcome stayed under 3% and is not plotted3 further outcomes not shown
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Bitcoin stuck as ETF inflows offset selling, but inflation data could spark a moveCoinDesk · 2h ago
- BTCPay Backers Offer Bitcoin Bounty After Wallet ExploitDecrypt · 2h ago
- Should Bitcoin Companies Build USD Reserves? Understanding The TruthBitcoin Magazine · 3h ago
- CFTC Charges Goliath Ventures With $400M Bitcoin FraudBitcoin Magazine · 3h ago
- Twenty One to Become ‘More Than a Bitcoin Treasury,’ Says New CEOBitcoin Magazine · 5h ago
- Strategy CEO says company will resume Bitcoin accumulation this yearCointelegraph · 5h ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on …”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
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