Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on August 18?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 68.0¢
- Implied chance
- 68.0%
- Return if right
- 47.1%
- Spread cost
- 4%
If you put in $100
You get 147.1 shares at 68.0¢ each.
YES wins: $147.06 back, a profit of $47.06. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $2.19 of that profit. Without it you would make $49.25.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 34.0¢
- Implied chance
- 34.0%
- Return if right
- 194.1%
- Spread cost
- 4%
If you put in $100
You get 294.1 shares at 34.0¢ each.
NO wins: $294.12 back, a profit of $194.12. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $8.91 of that profit. Without it you would make $203.03.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest: Aug 17, 08:13 PM4 further outcomes not shown
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Investors Cash Out Fast of Bitcoin ETFs but Price Remains StableBitcoin Magazine · 2h ago
- Bitcoin production slips again in July for CleanSpark, BitFuFu and CanaanThe Block · 3h ago
- US Private Credit Stress Hits 2017 High: Why It Matters for Bitcoin?Yahoo Finance · 3h ago
- Gold vs. Bitcoin: Billionaire sees a major shift among investorsYahoo Finance · 3h ago
- Bitcoin hits $64K as gold gains while oil shakes off Trump Oman threatCointelegraph · 4h ago
- Bitcoin May Have One More Drop Before the Next Bull Run: FundstratYahoo Finance · 4h ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on …”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
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