Will the Phoenix Mercury make the 2026 WNBA Playoffs?

Q: Will the Phoenix Mercury make the 2026 WNBA Playoffs?

Prediction markets currently price this at 5%. A YES share costs 4.9¢ and pays $1 if it happens. That is a return of 1940.8% over 1.5mo.

WNBA: Team To Make Postseason$3k liquidity$4k volumecloses 1.5mo

WNBASports2026 WNBA PlayoffsBasketball

Trade on Polymarket

BUY YES

Cost: 4.9¢
Implied chance: 4.9%
Return if right: 1940.8%
Spread cost: 30%

If you put in $100

You get 2040.8 shares at 4.9¢ each.

YES wins: $2040.82 back, a profit of $1940.82. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $816.33 of that profit. Without it you would make $2757.14.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy YES on Polymarket

BUY NO

Cost: 97.9¢
Implied chance: 97.9%
Return if right: 2.1%
Spread cost: 41%

If you put in $100

You get 102.1 shares at 97.9¢ each.

NO wins: $102.15 back, a profit of $2.15. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $1.48 of that profit. Without it you would make $3.63.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy NO on Polymarket

Chance over time

1H 6H 1D 1W 1M ALL

Latest: Aug 10, 07:53 PM4 further outcomes not shown

Latest news

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No recent headlines matched this market. We only show an article when the names in the question appear in its headline, so a very local or very new market often has nothing. Showing nothing is deliberate: an unrelated story here would read like evidence about the price.

Headlines are matched on the names in “Will the Phoenix Mercury make the 2026 WNBA Playoffs?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.

How this market resolves

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team clinches a spot in the 2026 WNBA Playoffs per the rules of the WNBA. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to advance to the 2026 WNBA Playoffs (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". Any tiebreaker will not be considered part of the WNBA Playoffs. If the 2026 WNBA Playoffs are cancelled, postponed to begin after October 7, 2026 11:59 PM ET, or the full eight-team playoff field has not been officially confirmed by WNBA within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the WNBA and/or the clinching team; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.