Will the Philadelphia Phillies win the 2026 World Series?

Q: Will the Philadelphia Phillies win the 2026 World Series?

Prediction markets currently price this at 4%. A YES share costs 4.0¢ and pays $1 if it happens. That is a return of 2400.0% over 2.7mo.

MLB World Series Champion 2026$126k liquidity$1.3M volumecloses 2.7mo

SportsWorld SeriesMLBMLB Playoffsbaseball

Trade on Polymarket

BUY YES

Cost: 4.0¢
Implied chance: 4.0%
Return if right: 2400.0%
Spread cost: 1%

If you put in $100

You get 2500.0 shares at 4.0¢ each.

YES wins: $2500.00 back, a profit of $2400.00. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $31.65 of that profit. Without it you would make $2431.65.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy YES on Polymarket

BUY NO

Cost: 96.1¢
Implied chance: 96.1%
Return if right: 4.1%
Spread cost: 1%

If you put in $100

You get 104.1 shares at 96.1¢ each.

NO wins: $104.06 back, a profit of $4.06. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $0.05 of that profit. Without it you would make $4.11.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy NO on Polymarket

Chance over time

1H 6H 1D 1W 1M ALL

Latest: Aug 10, 05:11 PM8 outcomes stayed under 3% and are not plotted

Latest news

headlines link to their publishers

Headlines are matched on the names in “Will the Philadelphia Phillies win the 2026 World Series?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.

How this market resolves

This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 MLB World Series. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 MLB World Series per the rules of MLB (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from MLB (https://www.mlb.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.