Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be between 1600.00 and 1699.99 at the end of December 2026?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 42.0¢
- Implied chance
- 42.0%
- Return if right
- 138.1%
- Spread cost
- 27%
If you put in $100
You get 238.1 shares at 42.0¢ each.
YES wins: $238.10 back, a profit of $138.10. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $51.76 of that profit. Without it you would make $189.86.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 73.0¢
- Implied chance
- 73.0%
- Return if right
- 37.0%
- Spread cost
- 30%
If you put in $100
You get 137.0 shares at 73.0¢ each.
NO wins: $136.99 back, a profit of $36.99. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $15.69 of that profit. Without it you would make $52.67.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest: Aug 30, 07:27 PM1 outcome stayed under 3% and is not plotted
Latest news
headlines link to their publishersNo recent headlines matched this market. We only show an article when the names in the question appear in its headline, so a very local or very new market often has nothing. Showing nothing is deliberate: an unrelated story here would read like evidence about the price.
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be between 1600.0…”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This is a market about Argentina’s official wholesale U.S. dollar exchange rate at market close on the last business day of December 2026, as published by the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA). This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/). If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date. The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available. Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Other outcomes in Argentina Official USD Exchange Rate end of 2026? (Higher Brackets)
- Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be between 1800.00 and 1899.99 at the end of December 2026?
- Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be 2000.00 or higher at the end of December 2026?
- Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be less than 1600.00 at the end of December 2026?
- Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be between 1700.00 and 1799.99 at the end of December 2026?
- Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be between 1900.00 and 1999.99 at the end of December 2026?