Will The Odyssey win Best Original Score at the 99th Academy Awards?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 42.0¢
- Implied chance
- 42.0%
- Return if right
- 138.1%
- Spread cost
- 2%
If you put in $100
You get 238.1 shares at 42.0¢ each.
YES wins: $238.10 back, a profit of $138.10. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $2.87 of that profit. Without it you would make $140.96.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 59.0¢
- Implied chance
- 59.0%
- Return if right
- 69.5%
- Spread cost
- 2%
If you put in $100
You get 169.5 shares at 59.0¢ each.
NO wins: $169.49 back, a profit of $69.49. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $1.45 of that profit. Without it you would make $70.94.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
- The Odyssey41.5%
- Dune: Part Three17.0%
- Project Hail Mary9.5%
- Disclosure Day8.8%
- The Black Ball6.6%
- The Mandalorian and Grogu3.5%
Latest: Aug 10, 10:04 PM3 outcomes stayed under 3% and are not plotted1 further outcome not shown
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- China Box Office: ‘Spider-Man’ Holds No. 1 as ‘The Odyssey’ Storms PreviewsThe Hollywood Reporter · 16h ago
- Korea Box Office: ‘The Odyssey’ Bests ‘Spider-Man: Brand New Day’Variety · 16h ago
- China Box Office: ‘Spider-Man: Brand New Day’ Retains Crown as ‘Once Upon a Time in the Middle East,’ ‘The Odyssey’ Surge in PreviewsVariety · 16h ago
- 'The Odyssey' inspires surging travel interest in real-world locations behind the blockbusterFox News · 1d ago
- ‘The Odyssey’ Is Christopher Nolan’s Highest-Grossing Movie Ever With $1.1 Billion and Imax’s Biggest Release of All Time With $289 MillionVariety · 1d ago
- ‘The Odyssey’ Makes History as Christopher Nolan’s Top-Grossing Movie Ever, Beating ‘Dark Knight Rises’The Hollywood Reporter · 1d ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will The Odyssey win Best Original Score at the 99th Academy…”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Original Score. If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Original Score when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Other outcomes in Oscars 2027: Best Original Score Winner
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