Will the next Mythos-Class model be released on September 22, 2026?

Next Mythos-Class Model released on…?$687 liquidity$136 volumecloses 24d
AITechClaudeAnthropicAI ReleasesClaude Mythos
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Buy YES on Polymarket

BUY YES

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Cost
51.4¢
Implied chance
51.4%
Return if right
94.6%
Spread cost
67%

If you put in $100

You get 194.6 shares at 51.4¢ each.

YES wins: $194.55 back, a profit of $94.55. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $193.04 of that profit. Without it you would make $287.60.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy YES on Polymarket

Buy NO on Polymarket

BUY NO

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We keep it in one place with the price you saw, and email you when it settles or moves sharply. It is free, and the screener stays open to everyone either way.

Cost
99.8¢
Implied chance
99.8%
Return if right
0.2%
Spread cost
99%

If you put in $100

You get 100.2 shares at 99.8¢ each.

NO wins: $100.20 back, a profit of $0.20. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $34.57 of that profit. Without it you would make $34.77.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy NO on Polymarket

Chance over time

0%25%50%75%100%Aug 25Aug 30

Latest: Aug 30, 05:24 AM4 further outcomes not shown

Latest news

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No recent headlines matched this market. We only show an article when the names in the question appear in its headline, so a very local or very new market often has nothing. Showing nothing is deliberate: an unrelated story here would read like evidence about the price.

Headlines are matched on the names in “Will the next Mythos-Class model be released on September 22”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.

How this market resolves

This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Anthropic's next Mythos-class model is made available to the general public. Any model whose official name includes "Mythos," or that Anthropic officially describes as a "Mythos-class" model or similar, will qualify for this market's resolution. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.

Other outcomes in Next Mythos-Class Model released on…?

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