Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released prior to August 31, 2026?
This market has closed. No won.
Before it closed the market gave that outcome 92.8%.
There is nothing left to trade here. The prices Polymarket still shows are the settlement, not an opinion about what might happen.
- No release by November 191.4%
- October 19–October 253.1%
- October 5–October 110.4%
- October 12–October 184.7%
- October 26–November 12.1%
Latest: Oct 10, 06:23 PM1 outcome stayed under 3% and is not plotted
Latest news
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How this market resolves
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public. Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify. Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Other outcomes in When will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released?
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released between October 12 and October 18, 2026?
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released between October 19 and October 25, 2026?
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released between October 5 and October 11, 2026?
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released between September 28 and October 4, 2026?
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released between September 7 and September 13, 2026?
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released between October 26 and November 1, 2026?
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released between September 14 and September 20, 2026?
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by November 1, 2026?
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released between September 21 and September 27, 2026?
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released between August 31 and September 6, 2026?