Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released between September 21 and September 27, 2026?

Q: Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released between September 21 and September 27, 2026?

Prediction markets currently price this at 10%. A YES share costs 9.6¢ and pays $1 if it happens. That is a return of 941.7% over 1.1mo.

When will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released?$2k liquidity$414 volumecloses 1.1mo

AITechGeminigoogleGemini ProAI Releases

Trade on Polymarket

BUY YES

Cost: 9.6¢
Implied chance: 9.6%
Return if right: 941.7%
Spread cost: 1%

If you put in $100

You get 1041.7 shares at 9.6¢ each.

YES wins: $1041.67 back, a profit of $941.67. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $5.45 of that profit. Without it you would make $947.12.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy YES on Polymarket

BUY NO

Cost: 90.5¢
Implied chance: 90.5%
Return if right: 10.5%
Spread cost: 1%

If you put in $100

You get 110.5 shares at 90.5¢ each.

NO wins: $110.50 back, a profit of $10.50. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $0.06 of that profit. Without it you would make $10.56.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy NO on Polymarket

Chance over time

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Latest: Aug 26, 03:23 PM4 further outcomes not shown

Latest news

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How this market resolves

This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public. Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify. Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.