Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 25, 2026?

Next Google Gemini Pro Model released on...?$4k liquidity$4k volumecloses 15d
AITechGeminigoogleAI ReleasesGemini Pro
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Buy YES on Polymarket

BUY YES

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Cost
3.8¢
Implied chance
3.8%
Return if right
2531.6%
Spread cost
20%

If you put in $100

You get 2631.6 shares at 3.8¢ each.

YES wins: $2631.58 back, a profit of $2531.58. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $647.11 of that profit. Without it you would make $3178.69.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy YES on Polymarket

Buy NO on Polymarket

BUY NO

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We keep it in one place with the price you saw, and email you when it settles or moves sharply. It is free, and the screener stays open to everyone either way.

Cost
97.7¢
Implied chance
97.7%
Return if right
2.4%
Spread cost
25%

If you put in $100

You get 102.4 shares at 97.7¢ each.

NO wins: $102.35 back, a profit of $2.35. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.

The gap between buyers and sellers takes $0.79 of that profit. Without it you would make $3.15.

Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.

Buy NO on Polymarket

Latest news

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No recent headlines matched this market. We only show an article when the names in the question appear in its headline, so a very local or very new market often has nothing. Showing nothing is deliberate: an unrelated story here would read like evidence about the price.

Headlines are matched on the names in “Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August ”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.

How this market resolves

This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public. Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify. Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.

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