Will the Nevada abortion protection amendment pass?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 87.8¢
- Implied chance
- 87.8%
- Return if right
- 13.9%
- Spread cost
- 2%
If you put in $100
You get 113.9 shares at 87.8¢ each.
YES wins: $113.90 back, a profit of $13.90. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $0.26 of that profit. Without it you would make $14.16.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 12.6¢
- Implied chance
- 12.6%
- Return if right
- 693.7%
- Spread cost
- 2%
If you put in $100
You get 793.7 shares at 12.6¢ each.
NO wins: $793.65 back, a profit of $693.65. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $12.80 of that profit. Without it you would make $706.45.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Goodbye mansions, hello jail: Nevada woman stole $26 million from construction boss — then the IRS caught up with herYahoo Finance · 4d ago
- In Nevada speech, Trump chases after toddler on stage before joking he doesn't want him to 'be Biden and fall'Fox News · 5d ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will the Nevada abortion protection amendment pass?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
Nevada voters are scheduled to vote in the November 3, 2026 midterm elections on a constitutional amendment (Question 6) which, if passed, would enshrine the right to abortion in the Nevada Constitution. Under Nevada's constitution, citizen-initiated constitutional amendments must be approved in two successive general elections to take effect. The 2026 vote is the required second and final ratification. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nevada Question 6, the Right to Abortion Initiative, passes according to Nevada election procedure. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If Question 6 is removed from the 2026 midterm election ballot in Nevada, this market will resolve immediately to "No." If, for any reason, the results of this vote are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." This market will resolve based on the results of the vote according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results reported by the state of Nevada, specifically the Nevada Secretary of State (https://www.nvsos.gov).