Will the Moderate Party (M) win the sixth most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 10.0¢
- Implied chance
- 10.0%
- Return if right
- 900.0%
- Spread cost
- 43%
If you put in $100
You get 1000.0 shares at 10.0¢ each.
YES wins: $1000.00 back, a profit of $900.00. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $666.67 of that profit. Without it you would make $1566.67.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 98.0¢
- Implied chance
- 98.0%
- Return if right
- 2.0%
- Spread cost
- 68%
If you put in $100
You get 102.0 shares at 98.0¢ each.
NO wins: $102.04 back, a profit of $2.04. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $4.34 of that profit. Without it you would make $6.38.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
- Moderate Party (M)6.0%
- Christian Democrats (KD)38.0%
- Centre Party (C)35.5%
- Green Party (MP)33.0%
- Liberals (L)28.5%
- Left Party (V)35.5%
Latest: Aug 13, 11:42 PM3 further outcomes not shown
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Moderate Crowley upsets democratic socialist Hong in Wisconsin gubernatorial primaryCBS News · 1d ago
- Moderate Crowley narrowly beats democratic socialist Hong in WisconsinAxios · 2d ago
- Pimco Sees Fed on Hold Through 2026 as Inflation ModeratesBloomberg · 2d ago
- Moderate Crowley beats democratic socialist Hong in Wisconsin governor's primaryFrance 24 · 2d ago
- Carville warns Democrats may need to block far-left candidates from joining caucus, moderate group disagreesFox News · 2d ago
- Progressive Peggy Flanagan and moderate Angie Craig face off in Minnesota Democratic Senate primaryCBS News · 2d ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will the Moderate Party (M) win the sixth most seats in the …”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the sixth-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election. If fewer than six parties win seats in the Riksdag, or if voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the sixth finishing position after applying this ranking. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Other outcomes in Sweden Parliamentary Election: 6th Place
- Will the Citizens' Coalition (MED) win the sixth most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?
- Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the sixth most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?
- Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win the sixth most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?
- Will the Liberals (L) win the sixth most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?
- Will the Left Party (V) win the sixth most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?
- Will the Centre Party (C) win the sixth most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?
- Will the Green Party (MP) win the sixth most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?
- Will the Christian Democrats (KD) win the sixth most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?