Will the Moderate Party (M) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 15.0¢
- Implied chance
- 15.0%
- Return if right
- 566.7%
- Spread cost
- 4%
If you put in $100
You get 666.7 shares at 15.0¢ each.
YES wins: $666.67 back, a profit of $566.67. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $22.99 of that profit. Without it you would make $589.66.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 86.0¢
- Implied chance
- 86.0%
- Return if right
- 16.3%
- Spread cost
- 4%
If you put in $100
You get 116.3 shares at 86.0¢ each.
NO wins: $116.28 back, a profit of $16.28. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $0.68 of that profit. Without it you would make $16.96.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest: Aug 10, 05:25 PM6 outcomes stayed under 3% and are not plotted
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- Sanders says Minnesota Senate race between progressive and moderate will be 'tight'The Hill · 22h ago
- Group urges Democrats to woo moderate voters with populist policiesThe Washington Post · 1d ago
- Moderate Democrat in Hawaii Easily Defeats Progressive House ChallengerThe New York Times · 2d ago
- Former DNC Vice Chair David Hogg claims Democratic moderates 'don't have the right values'Fox News · 3d ago
- Lyft’s Bookings Climb, But Expects Growth to ModerateYahoo Finance · 4d ago
- 'Fake' moderate Talarico's Texas surge tests Paxton in fight to hold crucial GOP Senate seatFox News · 4d ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will the Moderate Party (M) win the second most seats in the…”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election. If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Other outcomes in Sweden Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place
- Will the Green Party (MP) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?
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- Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?
- Will the Centre Party (C) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?
- Will the Christian Democrats (KD) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?
- Will the Left Party (V) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?
- Will the Liberals (L) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?
- Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?