Will the iPhone 18 Pro cost at least $1300?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 19.2¢
- Implied chance
- 19.2%
- Return if right
- 420.8%
- Spread cost
- 20%
If you put in $100
You get 520.8 shares at 19.2¢ each.
YES wins: $520.83 back, a profit of $420.83. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $106.13 of that profit. Without it you would make $526.96.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
BUY NO
- Cost
- 87.3¢
- Implied chance
- 87.3%
- Return if right
- 14.5%
- Spread cost
- 23%
If you put in $100
You get 114.5 shares at 87.3¢ each.
NO wins: $114.55 back, a profit of $14.55. NO loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
The gap between buyers and sellers takes $4.43 of that profit. Without it you would make $18.98.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy NO on Polymarket
Latest news
headlines link to their publishersNo recent headlines matched this market. We only show an article when the names in the question appear in its headline, so a very local or very new market often has nothing. Showing nothing is deliberate: an unrelated story here would read like evidence about the price.
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will the iPhone 18 Pro cost at least $1300?”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the standard edition of the iPhone 18 Pro launches at the listed price or more. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the pre-tax launch price in USD of the standard edition of the iPhone 18 Pro as listed on the official Apple Store website or Apple’s retail pricing in the United States on the first official day of its release. If the price differs between configurations (e.g., base storage vs. higher storage), this market will resolve according to the lower price of the version that includes the full standard iPhone 18 Pro model with no additional features, accessories, or services (e.g., base storage capacity only). If the iPhone 18 Pro is not released by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be the official Apple Store (online or retail pricing), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.