Will the International Association of Judges win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
BUY YES
- Cost
- 0.2¢
- Implied chance
- 0.2%
- Return if right
- 49900.0%
- Spread cost
- n/a
If you put in $100
You get 50000.0 shares at 0.2¢ each.
YES wins: $50000.00 back, a profit of $49900.00. YES loses: $0.00, and the whole $100 is gone.
Assumes the whole order fills at this price. A large order eats into the book and averages worse.
Buy YES on Polymarket
- International Association of Judges0.1%
- Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms15.4%
- Mykola Kuleba8.5%
- Save the Children7.0%
Latest: Oct 7, 05:22 PM6 outcomes stayed under 3% and are not plotted
Latest news
headlines link to their publishers- SCOTUS slams door on Dem judge’s career fight after years of pro-Biden Facebook postsFox News · 3h ago
- Federal judge blocks Trump administration fines of up to $1.8M for migrantsFox News · 11h ago
- ABC asks judge to block FCC early license reviewCBS News · 22h ago
- Judge skeptical of FCC's move to scrutinize ABC station licensesThe Hill · 23h ago
- Trump-Appointed Judge Accuses ICE of Lying and Fabricating RecordsThe New York Times · 23h ago
- Judge blocks Trump administration move to fine migrantsThe Hill · 1d ago
Headlines are matched on the names in “Will the International Association of Judges win the Nobel P…”. Nobody checks them by hand, so one may not be relevant. They also say nothing about whether the price has already moved on this news.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee. If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market. If no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other." The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.
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